Every coin, every candle size. All of this is worked out on the candles you picked and fitted to that coin, so BTC on 30M and a memecoin on 1D get different numbers. The Levels tab shows the numbers in use.

Swings. A swing ends when price reverses 4 of the coin's typical candles (its median candle over the last 200). A big move is 2 swings. HH, HL, LH and LL mark higher highs, higher lows, lower highs and lower lows. A swing point is only known once price has reversed, so the newest part of the chart has none yet.

The move. The newest big move still standing. A pullback stays part of the bigger move until it breaks that move's zone, and then the move the other way takes over. Moves down get a bounce zone, the same thing upside down.

Zone and target. With 6 or more past pullbacks of its own on these candles, the zone is the middle half of how deep they went (its latest 30), and the target is how far they usually ran past the old extreme. Before that it uses 38–70% and the same size of move again from the middle of the zone.

Lines. The move line joins the start and the end of the move. The yellow line starts at the lowest swing low of the last 300 candles and keeps every later swing low above it. The dashed one starts at the highest swing high and keeps every later one below it.

Scenario. Pick the case to draw. If it holds: into the zone, a bounce, back to it, on to the old extreme, a dip, then the target. If it breaks: into the zone, a close past its far edge, a retest, then back to where the move started. The chart opens on the case that came first more often in this coin's past setups on these candles.

Past setups. Each one is worked out using only candles known at the time, starting the candle price first came back to the zone, then looking 180 candles ahead (52 on weekly). The average trade takes that close and gets out at the old extreme, on a close past the zone, or at the end. Many overlap in time and coins move together, so there are far fewer separate cases than the count says.

Does fitting help? Tested 2 Nov 2026, it did not. Fitted zones and a fixed 38–70% zone came out about the same on every candle size, and neither showed an edge. The fit describes how this coin moves. It does not improve the odds.

What the price range words mean. Take the coin's daily closes from the last 2 years (730 days, or all it has) and rank them. Lowest is the bottom 15%, Low 15–30%, Lower mid 30–45%, Middle 45–60%, High 60–80%, Highest the top 20%. This ranks today's price against past prices. It is not the chance of reaching any price.

The table. For each past week, the range is worked out using only prices known that week, then it looks 180 days ahead. Typical is the median move. Went up is how often it was higher. Fell 50%+ is how often it dropped by half or more at some point.

The test. 31 Oct 2026, 223 Hyperliquid coins, delisted ones included. Over the next 180 days the Lowest range had a median of −24%, was up 31% of the time, and 44% fell another 50% or more. All readings together: −27%, 30% and 50%. The market fell for most of that period. Waiting for a held low, a price above its 200-day average, or BTC also being low did not help either.

BTC, ETH, SOL. Their Lowest range looks better (+45%, up 83%), but BTC has only been there twice (2022 and 2026), which is too few to trust.

Short history. Under 14 days there are no ranges. Under 90 days they are drawn with a warning.

Averages. Simple averages of daily closes, drawn only when the coin has that much history. Tap one to switch it on or off.

Candles from Hyperliquid's public API, read straight from your browser. Read-only: no key, no trading. Charts by TradingView Lightweight Charts.